TAGMAT (They are giving money away today!) is a weekly column done every week by APIAS.net’s resident gambling addict, Smoothron. This site in no way advocates gambling, especially excessively. Smoothron’s degenerate friend, who will refer to as Casino Bobby also gives you his picks for the week. If we can tell you anything, bet against both of them and you should be able to retire within the first month of the season.
Not exactly the greatest week if you decided to follow the picks of Casino Bobby and myself. Our combined 1-6-1 record didn’t exactly help anyone’s economic troubles, except for Vegas’. Of course, the week previous I went 3-1; apparently, much like my least favorite coach in the world (Sly Croom), I cannot put two straight weeks together. Casino Bobby just hasn’t been the same after he spent some time in the slammer. His thinking has been off, and Governor Beshear is still going to outlaw online gambling in the great state of Kentucky. As you can see (if you read titles), I wanted to talk for a moment about trends. If you are really looking for a trend, it may be that we suck at picking games against the spread. HOWEVER, don’t bail on us just yet, we’re going to figure this whole thing out.
The kind of trends we need to start looking at are things like schools not winning at another school’s campus in a while. There were two great examples of this last weekend: UNC @ UVA and Mizzou @ Texas. UNC looked like a lock (to me) at Virginia. Virginia sucks and UNC is pretty good. UNC was actually up 7 points late in the 4th quarter, but Virginia got a late TD, forced OT and won by 3. UNC hasn’t won in Charlottesville since 1981. I wasn’t even born then. Whoops. Then, Missouri goes to Texas and everyone is talking about how the Tigers will respond after losing to OK State and might beat the Longhorns. That was enough to scare me off. Texas put up 35 before MU even knew the game had started. Also, Missouri hasn’t won in Austin in 114 (ONE HUNDRED AND FOURTEEN!) years. I’m not even sure if John McCain was alive then. Also, Mack Brown hasn’t lost a game at Texas after the Red River Shootout.
The main point of this is this: You probably want to find these trends, because I plan on giving reasons for betting on games like, “USC will be uninspired because there aren’t any hot chicks in Oregon.” Sorry, maybe next year we’ll do better. On to the picks, if you dare. (more…)