Gambler’s Paradise – Big XII North

by

big_12_logo1.jpgIf you read this blog we have here for more than about a week, you will find that I, smoothron, will occasionally mention a bet or fifty that I make on a random sporting event, horse race, pickup basketball game, or pretty much anything that moves. With not a lot going on this summer (except baseball, and you have a serious problem if you bet on baseball… okay, I will bet a game or five a week) we’ll take a look at some football future betting. Today, the Big XII North…

First of all, future betting is weird. You’re looking at a team on paper, and assuming that things will play out, with no injuries; could be counting on freshmen; etc. Alas, for the gambler in all of us, most will have the itch to do so. Many refer to future betting as, “sucker bets,” but with high risk, they say, comes high reward. On to the teams, odds used from www.bodog.com

More after the jump

Colorado: 7/1 First off, let Colorado football never be mentioned again without Dan Hawkins’ rant. They’re not intramural players, okay? Got it? But seriously, there is a great number here, with little value. Hawkins might eventually turn them around, but they lost to a Division 1-AA team last year. I would venture a guess to say that their freshment class coming in (31st in the country) isn’t going to save them from that mess. They do play the three toughest teams in their conference at home, which adds some intrigue, but they don’t have a quarterback (at all) listed on their rivals.com site (buffstampede.com) Fifty dollars would have a payback of $400, but they could very easily lose all three games against Oklahoma, Missouri, and Nebraska. You could blow the money in worse ways, but they do have players whose moms called in to bitch at the coach about practicing too much.

Iowa State 10/1 Look, at some point, Gene Chizik will turn this team around. But, not this year. He comes to a team that finished 4-8, went 0-5 on the road, and had to eke one out over powerhouse Northern Iowa. Chizik does inherit a team with experience, but the environment is a losing environment. Let’s just hope and pray that Chizik doesn’t go all Eustachy on us in his first year. Save your cash on the Cyclones this year.

mangino-713282.jpgKansas 7/1 If this were a pie-eating contest, I would take Mark Mangino against damn near every coach in the country. Alas, that is not how they will decide who’s going to the national championship this year. To be honest, does anyone really want to live in Lawrence, KS? Basketball at least has the allure of its tradition to draw athletes. But, if you’re an inner-city seventeen year-old, do you really want to go play for a fat white guy in the middle of nowhere? Didn’t think so. Last year, Kansas went 6-6 with no bowl appearance, and had a pretty average year. They beat most teams they should have beat, and lost to the teams they should have. The Jayhawks don’t have Texas or Oklahoma on the schedule, so they really need to make a push this year, but the talent just isn’t there. Similar to Colorado, in that a fifty dollar bet is intriguing, but in the end, just not worth it.

Kansas State 3/1 Kansas St. played really well last year and went to a bowl game, but got mauled by Rutgers. They bring back a lot on offense, including sophomore QB Josh Freeman who played well last year as a freshman. At 3/1 they are worth a long look. They have the talent, and they played Texas to a three-point game. But, Texas is Texas and they Kansas State plays them in Austin. They also got beat by the two best teams in the division by eighteen (Nebraska) and twenty (Missouri). If they had somewhat longer odds, they might be worth a look. But 3/1 is still not going to pay that well.

Missouri 2/1 Missouri brings back a TON on offense. They will most likely start all juniors and seniors when they have the ball, and all but one upperclassmen on the other side. It is most likely a two-way race for the division title between the Tigers and Nebraska, with Mizzou hosting the head-to-head matchup. Missouri’s schedule is just a bit tougher, though. 2/1 isn’t exactly paying the best in the world, but it’s better than…

Nebraska 1/1 Bill Callahan’s squad is the even-money favorite to win the division for the second straight year. They bring back Marlon Lucky and Zac Taylor to a team that was just beaten by Auburn in the Cotton Bowl. I hate betting the chalk, believe me, I really do. I just don’t see how anyone else in the division goes better than 6-2 which is what Nebraska should go. Put $100 on the Huskers, get back $200 before bowl season. There’s nothing wrong with that.cheerleaders.jpg

Smoothron’s Big XII North Division Predicted Order of Finish
1. Nebraska
2. Missiouri
3. Colorado
4. Kansas State
5. Kansas
6. Iowa State

Also, this is undoubtedly the worst division that we’ll be covering. Period.

Gambler’s Paradise is a weekly column, running every Thursday by SmoothRon, horse & sports gambler extraordinaire.

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49 Responses to “Gambler’s Paradise – Big XII North”

  1. TheGoldfishCowboy Says:

    What are the odds Mizzou has the best talent and the shittiest offensive scheme again this year?

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  5. smoothron Says:

    5dollar.cn ? i’m pretty sure i’ll be getting fired quickly for visiting that one. i’ll pass.

    as for mizzou, they have sucked ever since nebraska kicked that ball up and caught in the the end zone. oh, they sucked before that?

  6. W Says:

    A few questions:
    -Missouri has a football team?
    -Wasn’t he (Mangino) in a cameo on the Sopranos a couple weeks ago?
    -Did someone say pie?

  7. eDayStat Says:

    I don’t think you’re allowed to say ‘pie’ in the Colorado lockerroom after some incidents a few years ago.

  8. TheGoldfishCowboy Says:

    i think as long as you don’t preface it with “sweet tuna fish” its okay

  9. smoothron Says:

    hey, she was a bad kicker, there’s nothing left to say about that.

    also, this was written at 9:15, why will it say it was written at minute :06?

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